Probability And Stochastic Processes Codexery

Central limit theorem

A theorem on the convergence of sample means to normality.

Central limit theorem

The central limit theorem (CLT) is a fundamental concept in probability theory. It states that, under appropriate conditions, the distribution of a normalized version of the sample mean converges to a standard normal distribution, even if the original variables themselves are not normally distributed. The theorem is a key concept because it implies that probabilistic and statistical methods that work for normal distributions can be applicable to many problems involving other types of distributions.

field
Probability theory, statistics
known_for
Describing the convergence of the sample mean distribution to a normal distribution
modern_form_stated
1920s

Lore & Background

The central limit theorem has seen many changes during the formal development of probability theory. The earliest version of this theorem, that the normal distribution may be used as an approximation to the binomial distribution, is the de Moivre–Laplace theorem.

Reader's Guide

The central limit theorem is a cornerstone of statistical inference. In its classical form, it states that for a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with finite mean and variance, the distribution of the normalized sample mean approaches a normal distribution as the sample size increases. This holds regardless of the shape of the original distribution. The theorem's significance lies in its justification for using normal distribution-based methods on data from other distributions, provided the sample size is large enough. The requirement of independence and identical distribution can be weakened under certain conditions. The theorem describes the size and distributional form of stochastic fluctuations around the population mean during convergence, with the scaled difference between sample mean and population mean converging to a normal distribution with mean zero and variance equal to the original variance.

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